“In the coming weeks, the second wave occurred, with tens of millions dead.”. Is it very smart to assume that this Covid-19 will not re-emerge this Fall any worse than it has been? The post might be referring to an infamous incident that happened with a parade in Philadelphia during the 1918 pandemic, although again, this didn’t happen because of quarantine being lifted. This second wave is highly fatal, and responsible for most of the deaths attributed to the pandemic. The second wave was thought to be caused by a mutant more-virulent virus and to be spread by troop movements across Europe during World War I. Beware the second wave: how the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic tore through Edinburgh. It lasted for 2 years, in 3 waves with 500 million people infected and 50 million deaths. I have no idea. We’ve seen people claiming to be health professionals, family members, and even the government – offering dangerous tips like drinking warm water or gargling to prevent infection. Five times worse? The graph of the waves of Spanish Flu as pictured up top reveals a very big factor (multiple) for the second wave. We believe it shows weekly influenza mortality figures for England and Wales, rather than global figures—it appears to come from this scientific paper, which in turn adapted it from this 1927 book, which sourced the data from a 1920 report by the General Register Office. In reality, across the world, public health measures greatly varied, with parades still being held in Autumn 1918, at the height of the second wave. You can read more about this—and find out how to report Facebook content—here. In Australia, while the estimated death toll of 15,000 people was still high, it was less than a quarter of the country’s 62,000 death toll from the First World War. It is true the second wave of the pandemic was the most deadly, but it did not happen due to lifting of quarantine. Most of the deaths occurred with the second wave. Consequently, during modern pandemics, health officials look for deadlier strains of a virus when it reaches places with social upheaval. What does this have to do with the Spanish Flu pandemic? The devastating second wave passed by December 2018, but there was more to come. If followed, it can put lives at serious risk. Some believe it was because the soldiers doing military service returned home in the summer, or that Portuguese people who returned home by train after the war ended, were to blame. The Spanish flu, also known as the 1918 flu pandemic, was an unusually deadly influenza pandemic caused by the H1N1 influenza A virus.Lasting from February 1918 to April 1920, it infected 500 million people – about a third of the world's population at the time – in four successive waves. The second wave . However, it’s incorrect to say the lifting of quarantine and social distancing measures was what led to the second wave. A post claims that the 1918 influenza bout had a deadly second wave after quarantine restrictions were lifted. https://www.skepticalob.com/2020/05/this-graph-could-save-your-life.html Full Fact is a registered charity (no. A decade later, a reassorted viral strain H3N2 further caused the Hong Kong flu pandemic (1968-1969). This article is part of our work fact checking potentially false pictures, videos and stories on Facebook. A Facebook post warning “humanity should never allow a repeat of the same mistake in 1918” has been shared thousands of times on Facebook. So what can be done to avoid a second wave … But the claims concerning the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic are, in reality, a mixture of accurate and inaccurate information. https://fullfact.org/online/spanish-flu-second-wave-quarantine Share ; Comments; By. Privacy, terms and conditions. Between September and November, a second wave of flu peaks in the United States. “Most of the fatalities happened in the second wave. The 1918 influenza outbreak or the “Spanish flu” spread across the world in between 1918 and 1919, and is generally believed to have infected 500 million people and killed 50 million, making it the deadliest pandemic of modern times, (the black death is thought to have killed more.). Finally, the virus could mutate resulting in a more infectious strain. Vote in our poll, Thousands of Facebook users have shared a controversial Facebook post warning “humanity should never allow a repeat of the same mistake in 1918.”. Second ‘wave’ theory. As COVID-19 rates begin to steady in some parts of the U.S., people today are nervously eyeing the “second wave” of influenza that came in autumn 1918, that pandemic’s deadliest period. In January 1919, a third wave started in Australia and worked its … By August of 1918, a deadlier strain of the “Spanish flu” emerged. Note the changed number of cases compared to other graphs. This highly fatal second wave was responsible for most of the U.S. deaths attributed to the pandemic. And so, then we really need to have a robust strategy in place to not have a second wave.” Spanish Flu of 1918 Compared to COVID-19 Although the world has faced several major pandemics over the last 100 years, one of the worst was the 1918 influenza pandemic, the so-called Spanish flu. A scientific graph from the 1918 ‘Spanish’ flu pandemic showing mortality rates in the US and Europe. We need your help to protect us all from false and harmful information. Wed 29 Apr 2020 05.06 EDT. The graph below demonstrates the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic. This second wave is highly fatal, and responsible for most of the deaths attributed to the pandemic. As governments ease up on COVID-19-related lockdowns, policy-makers should heed … slightly in 1917. The claims in the post about 1918 are a mixture of accurate and inaccurate. The second phase of Spanish flu occurred in the autumn of 1918. The Spanish Flu first saw a 'U curve' - two major spikes in deaths among the very old and very young. Third Wave – Winter 1918. Covid-19 Second Wave? The graph of three predominant waves of Spanish Flu shown above is from the CDC website (I just added the SECOND WAVE title). The 1918 influenza outbreak, best known as Spanish Flu raced around the world in the years following the First World War. The devastating second wave passed by December 2018, but there was more to come. However, it is wrong to say the lifting of quarantine and social distancing measures was the second wave’s cause. Or to presume that we’ve got it under control right now as the curve is flattening? 1158683) and a non-profit company (no. A mutation of the virus has not been ruled out. 19:48, 5 MAY 2020; Updated 15:29, 6 MAY 2020; News. We and our partners use cookies on this site to improve our service, perform analytics, personalize advertising, measure advertising performance, and remember website preferences. The second wave was much more deadly than the first or third wave. The second wave . In reality, public health measures greatly varied, with parades still being held in Autumn 1918, at the second wave’s peak. Will SECOND WAVE of Covid-19 Be Like The Spanish Flu of 1918? And so, then we really need to have a robust strategy in place to not have a second wave.” Spanish Flu of 1918 Compared to COVID-19 Although the world has faced several major pandemics over the last 100 years, one of the worst was the 1918 influenza pandemic, the so-called Spanish flu. By December 1918, the deadly second wave of the Spanish flu had finally passed, but the pandemic was far from over. How to fit this multi-lingual output into a meaningful transnational, transdisciplinary frame, as befits the worst pandemic in human history, will be the new challenge for historians of the pandemic 100 years after it occurred. The second wave of the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918-20 was particularly devastating, as was the second wave of the H1N1 epidemic in 2009-10. edinburghlive. The number of deaths caused by the 1957–1958 pandemic is estimated between 1–4 million worldwide, making it one of the deadliest pandemics in history. The reason why there was a second wave of the flu is still debated, but is usually more associated with broader public health policy failures, and issues related to the war, such as soldiers travelling across Europe. because there was an extremely deadly second wave of the 1918 flu, but not due to quarantine being lifted. Some suggest that the virus may have mutated into a deadlier strain between the first and second wave, but this remains uncertain. 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